Chii chiri kukonzera kukwira kwemitengo yemotokari dzakamboshandiswa?Intuition yangu inoti izvi hazvigone kuenderera kwenguva refu.Asi kana zvikadaro, inflation yakaipa kwazvo.

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Izvi zvakaenderera mberi kwemwedzi yakati wandei: Mitengo yemotokari yakashandiswa yakakwira kubva pakukatyamadza kusvika pakukatyamadza, uye pandakangofunga kuti mitengo haichakwanisi kukwira zvakare, vakaita.
Zvinoenderana nedatha yemotokari yakashandiswa, mitengo yemotokari yakashandiswa muUS yakakwira 8.3% muna Kubvumbi kana ichienzaniswa naKurume, yakakwira makumi maviri muzana gore-kusvika-zvino, 54% kubva Kubvumbi 2020 uye 40% kubva Kubvumbi 2019. index kukosha yakaburitswa nhasi neauction. anoshanda Manheim, anotsigira Cox Automotive.Zvese zvakasanganiswa mumusika wemotokari dzakashandiswa:
Mumwedzi gumi nenhatu kusvika munaGunyana 2009, kukwira kwemitengo kwakatyorwa zvachose nemarekodhi ekare, kusanganisira chirongwa che-cash-for-clunker chakabvisa chizvarwa chese chemotokari dzekare dzinoshandiswa pamusika.
Vatengesi vanotenga mota paokisheni kuti vadzorere hesitamende yavo vakatarisana nehushoma uye vamwe vatengesi vazhinji vari kubhidha mota dzakafanana.Saka vakatuka nechomumwoyo, vakakwidza mitengo kuti vawane zvimwe zvekushandisa, uye vaitarisira kuti vaigona kupfuudza mitengo iyi isina musoro uye purofiti yakakura kuvatengi.Mitengo yezvitoro kazhinji inononoka mitengo nemavhiki matanhatu.
Vatengi vanoda kubhadhara mitengo iyi inosekesa pane kuenda kunoramwa mabasa: Cox Automotive inofungidzira yakashandiswa kutengesa mota yakakwira kusvika payakagadziriswa 22.4 miriyoni gore-pagore muna Kubvumbi.Stemis akaita mubhadharo wakakwana.
Intuition yangu inoti kuputika kwakadaro hakugone kuchengetedzwa.Kana vatengi vakazeza nezvemitengo iyi uye vodaidza danho revatengi, zvino mushure mekunge kukurudzira kwapera uye mitengo yekupenga iyi yareruka, vatengesi vanogara pane chimwe chinhu chakadhura zvakanyanya - chibatiso chekubhadhara hurongwa hwavo hwepasi - kana izvo zvichizokonzera kukanganisa nekuita saizvozvo.
Sekureva kweCox Automotive, uwandu hwekutengesa mukupera kwaKubvumbi hwakadonha kusvika pamazuva gumi nematanhatu ekutengesa, nepo mazuva makumi maviri nematatu ekutakura akajairika.Retail stock yemota dzakamboshandiswa mazuva makumi matatu nematatu, zvichienzaniswa nemazuva makumi mana nemana.
Mbeu dzematambudziko ekupa mota dzakashandiswa dzakadyarwa gore rapfuura apo bhizinesi rekurojesa mota rakadonha uye makambani ekurojesa mota akadzikisa ngarava dzawo nekutengesa mota dziripo uye kuderedza maodha emotokari nyowani.Yekupedzisira yakadzora kukwira kwemotokari nyowani muzvikwata zvekurojesa gore rapfuura uye gore rino.
Asi pari zvino bhizimusi rekurojesa riri kusimuka sezvo vanhu votanga kufamba zvakare uye mota dzekurojesa dzave kushomeka.
Iko kushomeka kwekupa kwakaoma kugadzira izvozvi, sezvo kushomeka kwesemiconductor kwakarova automaker kutanga kwegore rino.Vakavhara mafekitari uye vakakanzura mashifiti;vakaita kuti zvive zvakakosha kugadzira motokari dzepamusoro kuti vatsigire kurasikirwa muhuwandu.Ford yakazivisa kuti kugadzirwa kwayo kwepasirese kunogona kudonha ne50% mukota yechipiri.Pasi pemamiriro ezvinhu aya, kutengesa kwemari shoma yekurojesa ngarava kwakamiswa.Zvikepe zvemota dzekurenda zvakanetsa kuwana mota itsva.
Avis yakayambira mune yayo yekota 10-Q mushumo kuSEC muna Chivabvu 4 kuti yaisakwanisa kuwana mota dzakakwana dzezvikepe zvayo:
"Tinotarisana nenjodzi dzine chekuita nevatengesi vemotokari, kusanganisira kushomeka kwepasi rose semiconductor."
“Nezvikonzero zvakasiyana zvinosanganisira kuvharwa kwenzvimbo dzekugadzira kana zvimwe zvikonzero, takaona uye tinogona kunonoka kugamuchira mota nyowani kubva kune vanogadzira mota.
“Kunyanya, kushomeka kwepasi rose kwesemiconductor kuri kukanganisa maindasitiri mazhinji, kunyanya indasitiri yemotokari, izvo zviri kukanganisa vagadziri vemotokari vakati wandei vanotipa mota.
“Semuenzaniso, mamwe mafekitari emotokari muNorth America nedzimwe nyika akamisa kana kuderedza kugadzirwa kwemotokari nekuda kwekushomeka kwemasemiconductors anoshandiswa mukugadzira mota.
"Nekuda kweizvozvo, kushomeka kwezvekushandisa semiconductor kwave, uye kunotarisirwa kuramba kuine, kukanganisa pakutakura mota nyowani, izvo zvinogona kuita kuti zviome kuita zvinodiwa nevatengi."
Zvimwe zvikepe zvekurenda zviri kutarisana nedambudziko rimwechete: vagadziri vane matambudziko makuru ekuunganidza motokari nekuda kwekushayikwa kwema semiconductors vari kuisa pamoto wekumashure.
Mumwedzi mina yekutanga ya2021, kutengeswa kwezvikepe kwakadonha 48% kubva pa693,000 muna 2019 kusvika 360,000 gore rino, zvichienzaniswa nenguva yakafanana muna 2019, maererano neCar Rental News.
Mota dzemotokari dzekurenda dzava kubata mota dzavanadzo kwenguva yakareba uye vodziisa kuoction ine mamaira akakwira.Sekureva kwaCox, avhareji yemamaira emotokari dzekurojesa-panjodzi dzinotengeswa paokisheni mumakore achangopfuura (mota dziya dzisiri muchirongwa chemugadziri wekutenga kudzorera) kazhinji dziri pakati pemakumi mana ezviuru ne50,000 mamaira.Asi munaKurume, avhareji yemamileage yakasvetuka mamaira gumi nemaviri kusvika makumi matanhatu nenomwe mamaira kubva payatove yakakwira mamaira muna Kukadzi.Muna Kubvumbi, avhareji yemamileage yakakwira kusvika pa82800!
Kunyangwe nekuwedzera kunoshamisa kwemamaira, mutengo weavhareji weaya mayuniti enjodzi akarendwa - ndiko kupenga kwakaita musika - wakakwira 32% gore negore.
Zvikepe zvekuroja pari zvino ndidzo vatengi vakuru mumaokisheni, zvichiwedzera kumanikidza kwemitengo.Vanogara vachitenga dzimwe mota kumaokisheni kuti vawane zvinodiwa munharaunda, ichi hachisi chinhu chitsva.Asi iye zvino zviri kuitika pamwero mukuru.
"Boka redu reFleet Purchasing Group rinoshanda nesimba kuti riwane mota dzakawanda, itsva uye yakaderera-mileage inoshandiswa, pamatanho ese kusangana nekukura kuri kuda," Bloomberg akadaro mukutaura.
Mutauriri weHertz akaudza Bloomberg kuti kambani "inotenga mota dzakashandiswa dzakaderera kubva kwakasiyana siyana, kusanganisira maokisheni, maokisheni epamhepo, vatengesi uye zvirongwa zvekurejesa mota."
Kudivi rakatarisana nevatengi vebhizinesi ravo, ngarava dzemotokari dzekurenda dzinoita uswa kana zuva rapenya uye kukwidza rendi mumusika pazvinogoneka-kuwedzera mafuta kumoto weinflation, wafungidzira.
Nakidzwa nekuverenga WOLF STREET uye unoda kuitsigira?Shandisa ad blocker - Ini ndinonzwisisa zvachose chikonzero - asi uchida kutsigira saiti?Unogona kupa.Ndinotenda zvikuru.Dzvanya padoro uye iced tea mugs kuti udzidze sei:
Ndoda kukuratidzai kupenga kwazvinoita kuti ndine Infiniti ane makore 20 asina makore abuda mugaraji uye mbavha dzakabatwa neGPS.Vanobatanidzwa vanoti kubiwa kwemotokari kwakapetwa kaviri muna 2021.
Ndine chokwadi chekuti kana US yakakwidza muganhu wezera kusvika ku30, paizova nemotokari dzakawanda dzakashandiswa dzakagadzirira kutengwa kunze kwenyika.:)
Ndine makore 65 uye vabereki vangu vachiri vapenyu.Vane mota yakaderera mileage uye yepakati mileage rori.Zvose zvichagara nhaka kana kutengeswa.Izvi zvinoratidzika kuva zvinowanzoitika sezvo vana vanokura vachikura.
Zvinoreva kuti “mutengesi”, semuMota Dzakashandiswa dzaJoe, kwete mutengesi weFord wawakashandira, nekuti vanoita sevanosiya zvinhu zvakanakisa kuti zvitengeswezve, handiti?Pamwe mutengesi/mutengesi SHIP ijagoni yandashaya pano?Vamwe vatengesi vanofanirwa kutengawo kushomeka paauction here?Ndinofunga kuti iri ndiro dambudziko rangu chairo (ino nguva ndakaverenga chinyorwa kaviri).Zvakare mukutanga 80s, ndakaenda kune auction nemurume ane "mvumo yekupinda / kutenga" uye baba vake.Vakatenga kumberi nekuseri kwetsuro yese ndokuibika pamwe chete seimwe yemabasa avo.Mumunda muhombe une madhaka wakatenderedza Sears Point IIRC.(Akatenga uye akagadzira Honda 500 4 yakaputsika).Saka mubvunzo wepiri ndewekuti, auction yauri kutaura nezvayo haioneki here, kana kuti mabhidhiri ari kudzungaira mumikoto?Mota zhinji dziri muchimiro chakanaka, dzangova huruva.
Vatengesi vanotenga paauction vatengesi vakazvimiririra kana vatengesi vane mari.kana chero ani zvake akatenderwa kutengwa paauction.
Kwete makore makumi matatu, asi makore makumi maviri nemashanu.Dzimwe nyika dzine zvimwe zvakasiyana zvinodiwa.Heino rumwe ruzivo: https://usacustomsclearance.com/process/guide-to-importing-cars-to-usa/
Thanks Mike Iyi inzvimbo yakanaka yekuwedzera kune yangu iri kukura yekuunganidza zviwanikwa.Zvakadaro, ndakawana mhinduro yeCA yandaitarisira.
MuWashington, huwandu hwekubiwa kwemotokari hwakwira zvakanyanya.Chiziviso chiri pedyo nebhazi rinofamba nepasi pevhu chinoti: “Paunosvetuka kunze, vanosvetuka” (chimwe chinhu chakadaro).Mota hadzisi dzemazuva ano, dzinongori mhando dzemotokari dzakajairika.Ndakaverenga chinyorwa muNPR (ndakaverenga NPR) yakataura kuti kunyange vashanduri vanoshandura vanogona kuita mari pamotokari dzakwegura.Chinhu chainyanya kutyisa ndechekuti ndakasungwa ndine chiso chepwere.Pamwe kungoita rwendo kana kuronga kutumira kuMexico City.ndiani anoziva changamire?
Cobalt, CATS yakabiwa kubva kuDC kwemakore, inzvimbo inonakidza muguta redu renyika.Wakamboona shanduko mumitengo yeplatinum nepalladium mumakore maviri apfuura?Ndinoshuva kuti ndatenga zvimwe!
DWY CAT Kubira kwave kunenge pasi rose kuve mhosva ye "kutengeserana".Vanokwikwidza kuti vaone kuti ndiani anogona kuvaburitsa nekukurumidza nebhatiri rine simba rekona grinder uye ruoko rurefu.Fungidzira "champion" yazvino mumasekonzi gumi kubva pakutanga kusvika pakupedzisira!
Makati emazuva ano ane "triangular".Vakashandisa rhodium (zvichida cerium muma90s) pamwe neplatinum uye palladium kuita kutevedzana kwakaoma kwemakemikari.Ini ndinofungidzira kuti katsi dzakabiwa dzakanyungudutswa chete nemari, nekuda kwechimiro chadzo chakaomesesa che ceramic muzinga.Sezvimedu zvakasara zvakakosha zvakanyanya.Zvitsva zvinodhura kubva ku1000 kusvika ku2000 madhora uye nezvimwe.Zviripachena, mota nyowani dzinogona kubiwa kubva kumota dziri nani, uye mahybrids anofarirwawo nekuti anopfuudza zvakanyanya kushoma peturu kuburikidza navo.
Aya ndiwo mitengo yemagariro yekusaenzana kwakanyanya mumari inowanikwa uye mambure akakodzera… tarisira zvakanyanya sezvo zvinhu zvinotonyanya kuipa.A "social tax" inoenda zvakanyanya.Nehurombo, zvikamu zvevarombo zvakanyanya zvevanhu, vasingakwanisi kuva nefurati kana imba ine garaji, vanotambura zvakanyanya, zvichiwedzera dambudziko.
Macatalyst munharaunda yangu anoramba achiba.Chero ani zvake ane mota yakaita seyangu (Honda CRV 2000) anofanira kuita bhajeti remota itsva.
Svondo rapfuura, mumwe wandaishanda naye akabirwa koni yainge yave chidhori pamba pake kwemakore angangoita gumi nemashanu.Kusvika pari zvino zvave zvisingabatsiri.
Izvi zvinopenga, muvakidzani wangu akabirwa F150 yake yemakore gumi neshanu mwedzi wapfuura ari parwendo rweKumba Depot.Kukwira kwemitengo yemotokari dzakamboshandiswa kwaita kuti mbavha dzakashinga zvikuru dzibvire.
Pamusoro pezvo, hazvigoneke kuti munhu asiri nyanzvi aba Hyundai.Ini ndinofungidzira kuti ndosaka rori yemakore gumi neshanu ine mutengo wepamusoro wekutengesa ndiyo inonyanya kunangwa.
Hongu, masikati machena.Chinosekesa ndechekuti mapurisa akatora report kuudza vavakidzani vangu kuti nyangwe vakavabata mbavha yacho inoripiswa ndizvozvo.
Zvinoita sejee, asi hazvisirizvo.Fungidzira kana iwe waingova mukontrakta uchitanga basa uye uine rori yekare uye kamwe-kamwe yakabiwa uye raramo yako yapera.
Iyo yakanakisa "anti-kuba" mudziyo pamotokari yekare ndeye switch coil uye plug waya pabutiro remugovera (tiri kutaura nezvemotokari dzekare pano).Hazvizotanga.Kana iwe ukasimudza hood, inotaridzika "yakajairika".Kusagadzikana, hongu.Asi zvinoshanda.
Slim Jim inowanikwa kwese kwese, inoshanda zvakasiyana-siyana uye iri nyore kudzidza.Zvakare, ndakaba maturusi ebhatiri kubva ku'92 Nissan (isina mahwindo epadivi, aive akanyanya kureruka) ndikapwanya mahwindo.Mugaraji pasi pefurati yangu uye muhombe huru.Pamwe vakaisa bhegi hombe rekurara pariri kuti rivhare ruzha?Zvichida kuve mugari anokodzera.Vanhu vakapererwa vanoita zvinhu zvekupererwa zvakadaro, uye ini ndinobheja vazhinji ve "nyanzvi" vanoda kutanga yavo yekuAmerica kurota uye vanongoda kuchengetedza mari.Mudzimu wemabhizimusi…
Ini handisati ndanzwisisa kuti kushaikwa kwemuhoro wekusimudzira hupfumi kunogona kukonzera inflation.Izvo zvese nezve kugovera uye kudiwa, inova yechinguva anomaly.
Ini pachangu, ndinoona izvi semusungo mukuru wenzombe.Boka riri kumhanya richienda ku inflation/ reflation/ new cycle isati yapera mukuderera kunotyisa ... chikwereti chose chinogona kudhindwa se “rubatsiro”…
Global Crossing yaive yepasirese yenharembozha mupi wezvekufambiswa kwenhare iyo yakabhuroka makore makumi maviri apfuura uye yakatengwa nemaparasite.Iyo yakangoerekana uye yakachipa kwazvo nharembozha yekubatanidza kuIndia yakaunza Indian call centre indasitiri.Uye kudzikira kweAmerican call centre.
Kutenderera kwebhizinesi "kwechisikigo" kunoparadza vanoisa mari vasina ruzivo, kunopfumisa zvipembenene, uye kuderedza mabasa.Asi imhando yemutemo wehupfumi kuti vapfumi vanodya zvimwe segiravhiti, saka zvese zvakanaka.


Nguva yekutumira: Aug-29-2022